10 Best Investments for 2011

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Investors have tried for years to follow the strategy of Warren Buffett, considered by many to be the greatest investor in history. That's ironic given how little he seems to care about ups and downs of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A_) share price and quarterly earnings.

But now that earnings season is behind us, 24/7 Wall St wanted to see which stocks currently offer the most value for investors who like to mimic Buffett's investment strategies, which are similar to those investors use when buying a business. Buffett is a deep value investor whose time frame for payback is "forever."

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Here are the top positions with the most upside from Buffett's stock portfolio. In order to qualify at the current time, the Buffett positions had more than a 10% hurdle to rise before reaching the current target objective. When we ran a similar screen of Buffett stocks earlier in the year there was actually a hurdle closer to 30%. That is what happens after many rallies. As always, the full Buffett and Berkshire holdings are here.

In our analysis, we have included prices based as of Dec. 1, 2010, the consensus price targets on each along with the upside, we added in color on what may help or hinder the implied upside, shown what each have for dividend yields, and compared each with their 52-week trading range and other older historic highs.

1) American Express Company(AXP_) has an implied upside of about 14.5% to consensus target of $50.66. JPMorgan just set its target at $50 with an overweight rating on Dec. 1. The current dividend yield is roughly 1.7%. Berkshire holds $151.6 million shares. AmEx has benefited from shrinking customer delinquencies and charge-offs. Another strength here is that American Express tends to serve a higher-end market than many other credit companies. Its 52-week trading range is $36.60 to $49.19.

2) Bank of America(BAC_) has a consensus target is $18.36, implying a 66% upside from its $11.04 price. The target price also under the near-term highs as a 52-week range is $10.91 to $19.86. Before you get excited about it being about 1% from lows, there are some serious issues to consider.

About Saudi Aramco

A world leader in oil and gas

Owned by the Saudi Arabian Government, Saudi Aramco is a fully-integrated, global petroleum enterprise and a world leader in the exploration, production, refining, distribution, shipping and marketing of oil and gas. The company manages proven conventional reserves of 260 billion barrels of oil and manages the fourth largest gas reserves in the world, 263 trillion cubic feet.
In addition to its headquarters in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Aramco has affiliates, joint ventures and subsidiary offices in China, Japan, India, the Netherlands, the Republic of Korea, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom and the United States.
Saudi Aramco produces five grades of crude oil, Arabian Super Light (ASL), Arabian Extra Light (AXL), Arabian Light (AL), Arabian Medium (AM) and Arabian Heavy (AH), thus satisfying the needs of all of our customers and partners around the world. Through the years, Saudi Aramco has discovered over 100 oil and gas fields in the Kingdom; among them is Ghawar; the world’s largest onshore oil field and Safaniya; the world’s largest offshore field. Ghawar field holds over 100 billion barrels and Safaniya holds over 50 billion barrels. To maintain petroleum production capacity, Saudi Aramco continually invests to ensure that it maintains its reputation as the most reliable energy supplier. Saudi Aramco is committed to providing the world with reliable and steady supplies of energy that amount to about 10 per cent of the oil consumed daily in the world today.

In line with Saudi Aramco’s strategic objectives, in November 2003, the company signed an agreement with Shell for non-associated gas exploration and production through South Rub Al-Khali Company (SRAK). Located in the South Rub Al-Khali of Saudi Arabia, this concession covers 210,000 square kilometers. The participants will be exploring and developing gas resources on an industry-proven tax-royalty model.
An additional three upstream packages, totalling an area of 120,000 square kilometres, were offered. Contracts were signed in March 2004 with Russia’s Lukoil, China’s Sinopec, and a consortium of Italy’s ENI and Spain’s Repsol.
The signing of these upstream offerings opened a new era for gas development in the Kingdom and demonstrates that investment is welcomed and can be agreed under favorable terms.
Saudi Aramco also operates the world’s largest single hydrocarbon network, the Kingdom’s Master Gas System (MGS). The MGS is a gas gathering and processing system built in the mid-1970s, and has been the backbone of the country's industrial network since the system’s completion in 1982. The MGS enables Saudi Aramco to use or market nearly all the gas associated with oil production and all non-associated gas produced from deep gas reservoirs. In the company's overall gas operations, natural gas is processed to produce clean fuel (methane, or sales gas) and feedstock (methane, ethane, propane, butane and natural gasoline). Methane and ethane are consumed entirely by the Kingdom's utilities and industry. Excess propane, butane and natural gasoline (also known as natural gas liquids, or NGL) that are not used by the domestic petrochemicals industry are exported to world markets.
The Kingdom's demand for sales gas is expected to continue to grow at 5 per cent per year as the country's domestic and industrial bases expand. Gas is used to generate electricity, as fuel gas and feedstocks for the petrochemical industry, for desalination and to support oil and gas operations. At Saudi Aramco, we are currently managing several major multi-billion dollar projects to boost natural gas processing capacity. When complete, these projects will increase our processing capacity for associated and non-associated gas from 9.3 billion scfd to 12.5 billion scfd.
Saudi Aramco's MGS has the capacity to process more than 9 billion scfd of gas and deliver more than 7 billion scfd of net sales gas to industrial customers around the Kingdom. A project to expand the transmission system in the Eastern region, funded in 2007, is ongoing with completion anticipated in 2010. This project will expand the MGS with 215 kilometers of 56-inch pipe paralleling existing lines in order to serve future demand in Jubail and Ras az-Zawr.
Saudi Aramco operates five domestic refineries within the Kingdom, which primarily serve the local market.
Saudi Aramco also holds a 50 per cent interest in each of two existing in-Kingdom joint venture refineries which are located in Yanbu and Jubail.
Saudi Aramco is currently a participant in four refining and marketing companies located outside the Kingdom, namely Motiva Enterprises in the US, S-Oil in Korea, Fujian in China and Showa Shell in Japan.
The company not only markets and exports crude oil, petroleum products, natural gas liquids and sulfur, but also ships crude oil worldwide via tankers through Vela International Marine Limited, an affiliated company, and participates in joint ventures and other affiliates at home and abroad to refine crude oil and market its products.
Saudi Aramco's sales and marketing activities are handled by three departments – crude, product and logistics – responsible for worldwide export sales of crude oil, refined products, natural gas liquids and sulfur, as well as the import of refined products to meet shortfalls in the domestic market. Besides its sales and marketing headquarters in Dhahran, the company has various subsidiaries with offices around the world that provide marketing services:

• Saudi Petroleum International, Inc., maintains offices in New York.
• Saudi Petroleum Overseas, Ltd., is based in London.
• Saudi Petroleum, Ltd., has offices in Tokyo, Beijing and Singapore.
• Saudi Aramco Sino Company (SASC), is based in Hong Kong.

The Asian region remains a cornerstone of the company’s international business and, in 2005, Saudi Arabia became the No. 1 supplier of crude oil to China, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.
Saudi Aramco, Fujian Petrochemical Company Limited (FPCL) of China and ExxonMobil are jointly developing a project to triple the refining capacity of FPCL’s existing Fujian, China, refinery, as well as to add major petrochemical manufacturing units.
In 2009, the Aramco Overseas Company (AOC) Hong Kong office and the new Hong Kong office of Saudi Aramco Sino Company (SASC), a wholly owned subsidiary of Saudi Aramco, were inaugurated.
This event marked the transition between what was merely a development office for the Fujian project, to the hub of Saudi Aramco operations in the Asia Pacific region. The move also indicates the increasing emphasis that Saudi Aramco places on its relationships in the region.
With the change in its charter, AOC and SASC Hong Kong offices will now manage Saudi Aramco’s interests and investments in Asia. The Asia Joint Venture portfolio currently has four investments located in three Asian countries and cultures. S-Oil in the Republic of Korea, Showa Shell in Japan, Fujian Refining and Petrochemical Company limited (FREP) in China and Sinopec SenMei (Fuijan) Petroleum Company Limited (SSPC) in China. The portfolio processes around 1.3 million bpd of crude oil, 90 per cent of which is Arabian crude. In addition, the Asian Joint Venture portfolio produces around 6,300 metric tons per annum (MTA) of petrochemical products and 1,300 MTA of high-quality group II and III base oil.
Saudi Aramco subsidiary Vela Marine International Ltd, owns and operates the world's second largest tanker fleet to help transport crude oil production, which amounted to 1.7 million barrels per day internationally, and 600,000 barrels per day domestically, in 2008.
Saudi Aramco refines and distributes oil products throughout the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to meet domestic daily energy demands.
In 1963, Saudi Aramco issued its first-ever environmental protection plan, intended to monitor and control any possible pollution to air, groundwater, land and marine environments. Since that date, each company department has been required to ensure that their facilities are designed and operated in line with this plan. Saudi Aramco shares the world's concern that climate change is a long-term challenge, and we are working to play a leading role in developing and implementing technological solutions in a responsible manner. Consistent with the company’s mandate to produce hydrocarbons for profit; Saudi Aramco’s R&D Center is developing novel low-cost technologies for CO₂ capture – from fixed and mobile sources, for use as valuable chemical intermediates – for commercial use.
All Saudi Aramco projects are built in a manner that minimizes their environmental footprint, using best-in-class technology. Saudi Aramco’s Environmental Protection Department produces a number of publications that are available to the public, in hard copy and PDF.
For more information, visit the Saudi Aramco website at http://www.saudiaramco.com/.

Investment opportunities

For information about the investment environment in the Kingdom, and how the Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority can facilitate, support and provide prospective investors with hands-on assistance – from the enquiry stage to the fulfillment of a business project – visit the SAGIA website at http://www.sagia.gov.sa/.
For information about Saudi Arabia’s Commercial Sector visit the Saudi Arabian Chamber of Commerce website at http://www.saudichambers.org.sa/.
For information about business partnerships and investment opportunities within the Saudi Aramco enterprise, visit the New Business section of the Saudi Aramco website at http://www.saudiaramco.com/.

Visas

Prior to arrival in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, every foreign national is required to have an entry visa stamped in their passport by an embassy or consulate of Saudi Arabia.
The AOC Government Relations representative can provide assistance to business parties wishing to travel to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia on business with AOC or Saudi Aramco. Applicants must bear in mind that AOC does not issue visas; it can only help people with the process.
If you are doing business with the Saudi Aramco enterprise and want more information about visas, contact AOCGovernmentRelations@aramco.nl.

How do I invest in Saudi Aramco?

Saudi Aramco is owned by the Saudi Government.

You can invest in (USO) which tracks the oil price.

That's the next best thing.

P.S. Saudi Arabia produces "Sour Crude" the refineries in the U.S. (with the exception of Valero) refine in "Sweet Crude"

Maybe that's why when Saudi Arabia announced they were going to pump an additional 200,000 barrels of oil the market for oil went UP instead of down.

Saudi Aramco 'committed to long term investment'

Oil company Saudi Aramco renewed on Monday its commitment to long-term investment plans in oil and gas during the global financial crisis, which has dampened demand for sources of energy.
"Despite the difficulty in the current global economic climate and ... challenges facing the energy sector, the kingdom will continue its long-term investments to expand oil and gas sectors," chief executive Khalid al-Falih said in a statement.
The investments would "shore up both domestic and international energy supplies", he said.
Aramco would soon sign a "memorandum of understanding" with Japan's Sumitomo Chemical to develop a second phase of the PetroRabigh complex, Falih said.
He also cited Aramco's plan to spend 100 billion riyals ($26.67 billion) in a petrochemicals complex at Ras Tanura in partnership with Dow Chemical.
Falih made the remarks at a conference in the Eastern province, Aramco said.
The global economic slowdown was an opportunity to "formulate future investment strategies and prepare for the upcoming phases of economic expansion", Falih added.
Saudi Arabia has not made public any further plans to boost capacity beyond a programme ending this year to take it to 12.5 million barrels per day, but it has outlined how it could reach 15 million bpd in the future.
Earlier this week, a Saudi newspaper reported that the state firm would keep spending on oil and gas projects within the kingdom through 2014 at about $60 billion, which would be $10 billion cheaper than the last plan coming to completion in June. (Reuters)

Saudi Aramco eyes $120bn energy investments

State-owned Saudi Aramco plans to invest around $120 billion over the next 5-6 years in developing projects in the oil and petrochemicals sectors, the company's chief executive told Arabiya TV.
The world's top oil exporter has completed a number of refinery expansions and is now working at meeting the country's gas demands in addition to moving downstream into production of petrochemicals.
Saudi Aramco plans to spend $60 billion on the oil sector, while the remaining investment would be for the development of petrochemical projects and foreign investments, said Khalid al-Falih.
"Over the coming five to six years the total investment for Saudi Aramco will be around $120 billon," he said.
"Funding investments for our other projects comes from joint ventures, loans and individual Saudi investors."
The world's top oil exporter, completed a huge expansion plan to boost crude output capacity last year.
Aramco concluded the expansion while world oil demand fell with the global recession, leaving the kingdom with a larger-than-expected buffer to meet any future demand increase or surprise outage in global supply.
Global oil demand was "fluctuating" and incremental demand growth would come from China, India and the Middle East, Falih said.
Saudi is the only oil producer in the world with significant spare capacity that can be quickly deployed.
The kingdom's oil output capacity stood at 12.5 million barrels per day (bpd) Falih said.
The Gulf Arab state pumped 8.18 million bpd in January, according to a Reuters survey. (Reuters)

Stock and Share - Exit Strategy (When to Sell)

 

To make millions from the stock market, you need to know when to sell your stock and shares. This is usually called share exit strategy. Exit strategy means a method of selling your stocks or shares on the stock exchange. Simply, exit strategy means when to sell your stocks and shares. In the business of stock trading, there are three basic issues:
a. When to buy
b. When to hold
c. When to sell

Out of these three basic issues, "when to sell" is the most difficult. Hence, the need for you to master when to sell if you really want to make millions from the stock market.

Over the years, research and experience have shown that there are five basic share exit strategies in the stock exchange:
1. Situational exit strategy
2. Period exit strategy
3. Price exit strategy
4. Closure of register exit strategy
5. Past performance exit strategy

1. SITUATIONAL EXIT STRATEGY

This strategy is used when an occurrence or situation pushes up the shares prices. A good example is when Otedola bought a controlling quantity of shares in AP stocks in 2007. The price of AP moved from N 60 to N260 under two months. You don not need a prophet to tell you to sell and take profit if you had bought cheap. A similar situation also occurred in international breweries plc.

2. PERIOD EXIT STRATEGY

This strategy is used when you have to buy and sell stocks within a period of time. It is usually applied to funds borrowed from banks and other financial institutions. Here, there is a time frame within which you have to invest the money in stocks and shares.You pay back at the expiration of the given period.Therefore you sell your stocks and shares within that period.

3. PRICE EXIT STRATEGY

This strategy is applied to a stock bought at a price and sold at a higher share price. Here, when you buy a stock in the stock market, you have a target price at which to sell. Hence, if the price share price appreciates to the price, you quickly sell off, take profit and move on to other stocks.

4. CLOSURE OF DATE EXIT STRATEGY

Companies that declare bonus or dividends always give a date for closure of register. The date for closure of register is the date at which anybody that have the company's shares on or before that day is entitled to the declared bonus or dividends. Anybody buying after that day is not entitled to the declared bonus or dividend. The strategy here is to sell at a day after the closure of register. With this, you gain the bonus, dividend and still gain the capital appreciation in the share price. I.e. you gain it all.

5. PAST PERFORMANCE EXIT STRATEGY

This strategy informs or suggests to an investor to sell a stock based on past price trend of the stock. Here, investors use the past behavior of the share price to decide when to sell the stock in the stock market.

GO SUCCEED.
Edoka Tony is a stock analyst with over 10 years of experience in the stock market. He dedicates his experience and knowledge to offering financial advice and helping people make mega millions in the stock market. He has written a lot of articles on stocks and investment which are a must read for every profit-minded investor.

Top 15 Tips For Successful Stock Trading

Trading stocks simply isn't for everyone. Some people can stand the volatility and the pressure that comes with it, and some people can't. Even among the few who can handle the heat, fewer yet will ultimately be successful doing it. While no exact rules can dictate what makes a lucrative stock trader, those Wall Street sages who are legends for making killer winnings in a short amount of time all have a few characteristics in common. 1. Successful stock traders can fight their instincts and act counter-intuitively.
2. Successful traders maintain a regimented system that's as easy and efficient as possible. It rarely makes a difference which system you use - technical analysis versus fundamentals or value versus quality, for example - as long as you adhere to it. A successful trader knows the benefits, as well as the shortcomings, of their system and executes trades based solely upon the system. "The secret to success is consistency of purpose." This means, you must create separate tactics for establishing positions and closing them.
3. Successful traders calculate risk and make decisions that lower their risk exposure. Successful traders abhor losing money and manage their losses before they become too great, even if that entails throwing in the towel and acknowledging they made an incorrect call.
4. However, successful traders are not afraid of mistakes or taking chances. Successful traders have what Native Americans refer to as, "sovereignty," which is the right and capability to do the wrong thing. Essentially, sovereignty is the courage to make your own mistakes, for it's from our greatest failures that we learn the most.
5. Successful traders are not embarrassed or afraid of taking losses. In fact, they expect them and know that an important part of trading is limiting losses and preserving capital.
6. Successful traders master how to analyze stocks. Many traders only use one form of analysis or seek research from one source, but comparing various reports and charts can give you a better picture.
7. Successful traders lead balanced lives. The rush that a homerun trade can produce is addictive, but a successful trader knows when to walk away - and more importantly, has something to walk toward, whether that is family, friends or hobbies.
8. A successful trader cultivates patience. This means letting profitable positions run their course, but it also means that when the market turns against them, they have the patience to try again and approach the market resiliently, courageously and with confidence.
9. A successful trader has a strong drive for success. Trading requires steady efforts, not haphazard positions established cavalierly. Determination to succeed can make all of the difference when the market is tumultuous because many people abandon ship.
10. A successful trader has discipline. That means reviewing markets and researching trades even if he isn't in the mood. Discipline also means holding to your strategy - not buying or selling positions because everyone else is doing it.
5 Bonus Tips
11. A successful trader understands the tactical differences between defensive and offensive behavior, and when each is best used. First, preserve capital, then profit.
12. Successful traders remain as emotionally detached as possible - this means ignoring rumors or Wall Street hearsay. They resist the temptation to join the crowd. Stop loss limits can help traders stay objective by preserving profits and ensuring that profit comes off of the table. While you may miss the rush of the lowest entry points and the highest selling points, stop losses let you sleep at night and live your life without being glued to the computer screen.
13. A successful trader knows himself and is very objective about his strengths and weaknesses. Know how to combat your weakness and implement strategies that capitalize on your strengths.
14. A successful trader knows their portfolio. Never let a trade slip through the cracks - keep detailed records and review your holdings often.
15. A successful trader sticks to the rules - the rules they set for themselves. When markets are moving swiftly, it's easy to lose your head. So, formulate a plan outside of the heat of the moment and stick to it to ensure trading success.